The national framework for integrated analysis and risk management for national security - approved

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The Cabinet of Ministers approved the Government Decision No. 422 of 05-08-2026 regarding the national framework for integrated analysis and risk management for national security, through which it is established, for the first time in the Republic of Moldova, a unitary national mechanism for the identification, analysis, evaluation and monitoring of risks, by approving the National Risk Assessment Methodology for national security.

In recent years, the Republic of Moldova has faced a wide spectrum of challenges, including energy crises, extreme weather phenomena, environmental incidents, cyber attacks and risks to critical infrastructures that have directly affected citizens, the economy and the operation of public services. These experiences have shown that the protection of the population depends not only on the state's ability to intervene when a crisis occurs, but, first of all, on the ability to identify risks in time and act preventively.

Today, risk assessments are carried out by institutions using different methodologies, which makes it difficult to get a complete national picture and establish those top national priorities. The approved GD changes this approach.

The methodology establishes a unique process for all public authorities: the identification and classification of risks, the development of a priority list of risks, the preparation of standardized sheets, the administration of the National Register of Risks and the periodic development of the National Risk Assessment Report. For the first time, all areas - from energy and health to cyber security, critical infrastructure, environment or defense - will use the same assessment rules, giving the state a unique and comparable picture of national security risks.

At the same time, the project establishes clear responsibilities for each actor involved. The National Crisis Management Center will methodologically coordinate the entire process, administer the National Risk Register and prepare the National Risk Assessment Report. The National Security Council will ensure the strategic orientation of the process, and the ministries and other public authorities will identify and manage the risks in their fields of competence. At the same time, operators of critical infrastructures and providers of essential services will become active partners in strengthening resilience, by developing continuity plans and exchanging information with the authorities.

A basic element of the new mechanism is the objective prioritization of risks. Not all threats are of equal severity or probability. By using a national risk matrix and a common methodology, the Government will be able to direct investments and preparedness measures to the areas where the potential impact is the greatest, basing decisions on integrated data and analysis, not on isolated sectoral assessments.

The benefits of this system will be reflected directly in the lives of citizens. The state will be able to more effectively prevent situations with major impact through the early identification of vulnerabilities, will better protect the continuity of essential services such as water supply, energy, communications, transport or medical and social services, will use public resources more efficiently and will strengthen cooperation between the authorities, local public administration, the private environment, the academic environment and civil society. At the same time, the new framework will provide a greater degree of predictability for the private sector, allowing economic operators to plan their continuity measures more effectively and strengthen their resilience in the face of risks. All this contributes to increasing national resilience and strengthening the confidence of citizens and the business environment in a state that anticipates risks.

Also, the national risk assessment will not represent a single exercise, but a continuous process. It will be updated every five years or whenever the security environment changes significantly, so that public policies and safeguards remain adapted to new challenges.

In essence, this project does not introduce additional bureaucracy, but creates a common system where today there are fragmented approaches, giving the Government a modern tool for prioritizing investments and strengthening the state's ability to protect the population, the economy and the operation of vital services before risks turn into crises. At the same time, by adopting this framework, the Republic of Moldova strengthens its institutional capacity in the field of risk management and resilience, realizing a commitment included in the National Plan for Accession to the European Union and aligning itself with European standards and good practices.


Additional measures to strengthen energy security and protect water resources

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Following the establishment on July 28 a state of alert in the energy sector and a hydrological alert states and emerging from the developments of the regional context with an impact on the Republic of Moldova, the National Crisis Management Commission was convened.

Topics of discussion of the National Crisis Management Commission were: 
- Security of electricity supply, in the context of diminishing regional production capacities, and the necessary measures for their prevention and management. 
- The hydrological situation on the Dniester river, as a result of the meeting of the Dniester Commission on July 31, 2026, as well as the necessary measures to reduce the impact.

During the meeting, the updated assessments presented by the National Crisis Management Center were examined based on those submitted by the Ministry of Energy and the Ministry of the Environment regarding the evolution of risks, as well as the stage of implementation of the measures adopted in the first meeting of the Commission. The analyzes highlighted the need to complete the preventive measures, against the background of the reduction in the availability of electricity in the region, determined by the decrease in hydropower and nuclear production in the neighboring states, as well as the worsening of the hydrological deficit in the Dniester river basin.

Through the measures adopted, the authorities aim to prevent the occurrence of sudden disruptions in the supply of electricity and water, ensure the availability of resources for the population and the economy, encourage responsible consumption during peak periods and maintain the normal functioning of vital services. 

More specifically, in order to reduce the risks regarding the electricity supply and strengthen the responsiveness of the energy system, the following measures have been adopted: 
1.    Protecting the electricity resources available during the hours of maximum consumption. SE "Moldelectrica" ​​will suspend commercial exports of electricity between 18:00-22:00, except for the quantities necessary to fulfill public service obligations, in order to prioritize domestic needs. The measure reduces the risk of a shortage in critical hours and helps to avoid power outages for the population and essential services. 
2.    Accelerating the development of energy storage and production capacities. Procedures for connecting storage batteries and new power plants from renewable sources will be accelerated, so that the Republic of Moldova can produce and store more of its own energy and depend less on developments in regional markets. In the immediate and medium term, the measure contributes to reducing dependence on imports and increasing the resilience of the national energy system. 
3.    Diversification of electricity supply sources. JSC "Energocom" will identify and contract alternative sources of supply, so that the Republic of Moldova can cover the consumption needs even if the availability of energy on the regional markets is reduced. Diversification of sources limits the risk of shortages and helps maintain a stable supply. 
4.    Strengthening regional cooperation. SE "Moldelectrica" ​​will intensify operational consultations with electricity transmission operators in Romania and Ukraine for the efficient management of the situation and the activation, if necessary, of emergency relief mechanisms. Thus, energy system operators will collaborate permanently to react quickly if problems arise in the region and to be able to benefit, if necessary, from mutual support in emergency situations. 
5.    Reduction of electricity consumption during peak hours. Temporary energy saving measures have been established between 06:00-09:00 and 18:00-23:00, applicable to public authorities, commercial premises, economic operators and other categories of consumers. Thus, the overloading of the network is avoided, the costs generated by the procurement of emergency energy are reduced and the risk of interruptions in the electricity supply is reduced.

For details check the Decision no. 3 of the National Crisis Management Commission. 

In the context of the aggravation of the hydrological deficit and the reduction of the flows of the Dniester river, the Commission decided to complete the measures to protect water resources and ensure the continuity of public water supply services.

Thus, the following measures were adopted: 
1.    Limiting non-essential uses of water. The use of water for recreational activities and other non-essential consumption will be limited so that the available resources are sufficient for the population, hospitals, schools and other vital services. 
2.    Responsible use of water resources for agriculture. Dniester irrigation will be organized in periods when less water is lost through evaporation and will be prioritized for crops important for food security. Thus, the same amount of water can be used more efficiently and the pressure on the Dniester river will be reduced. 
3.    Activating alternative sources to prevent interruptions in water supply. Reserve wells will be activated, water tanks prepared for water distribution and motor pumps that were granted today from the state reserves will be used, so that if some catchment sources are affected, the supply of the population can continue, reducing the risk of interruption of water supply to the population. 
4.    Intensification of monitoring and public information. Low flows and high temperatures can favor the growth of algae and the concentration of pollutants in the water. That is why the authorities will intensify the monitoring of water quality in order to identify possible changes in time, adapt the treatment processes and ensure that the water supplied to the population remains safe for consumption. At the same time, the population will be periodically informed about the evolution of the situation and the necessary recommendations, contributing to the protection of public health and avoiding misinformation.

For details check the Decision no. 4 of the National Crisis Management Commission.

The measures adopted during the second meeting complete the decisions approved by the National Crisis Management Commission of July 28, 2026 and aim to strengthen the state's capacity to manage regional developments, protect the population and ensure the continuity of vital services during states of alert.

National Crisis Management Commission represents the national mechanism through which the state authorities analyze crisis situations in an integrated manner, coordinate the institutional response and adopt quick decisions to protect the population, critical infrastructure and the continuity of essential services.

Failure to comply with the Commission's decisions attracts liability in accordance with the law.

The Secretariat of the Commission is provided by the National Crisis Management Center, the entity responsible for monitoring the implementation of the Commission's decisions, collecting information on the stage of their execution, preparing reports on the level of implementation of the measures and informing the Commission on the need to adopt additional measures.


First meeting of the National Crisis Management Commission: coordinated measures to strengthen energy security and protect water supply

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Today, July 28, 2026, the first meeting of the National Crisis Management Commission was held, convened in the context of risks regarding the security of supply of the Republic of Moldova with petroleum products and the deterioration of the hydrological situation.

Following the assessments presented by the responsible institutions and the integrated analysis carried out by the National Crisis Management Center, the Government decided to establish a state of alert in the energy sector and a state of hydrological alert. Subsequently, the Commission met to coordinate the necessary actions, establish implementation measures and ensure an integrated response to the identified risks.

Two topics were analyzed during the meeting:
- Security of supply of the Republic of Moldova with petroleum products, market risks and examination of impact mitigation measures.
- Evolution of the hydrological situation and examination of the necessary measures to prevent damage to the water supply of the population and essential services.

In order to maintain the availability of fuels on the domestic market, accelerate imports and prevent supply bottlenecks in the event of an eventuality, several measures have been adopted to:
1.  Maintaining the flow of diesel imports. In order for economic operators to continue imports in the face of increased logistics costs generated by the regional crisis, the Commission temporarily adapted the calculation mechanism for the maximum price for standard diesel and allowed the inclusion of a surcharge of 25 USD/tonne to cover additional procurement and transport costs. During the state of alert, the National Energy Regulatory Agency (ANRE) will already use the average value of the CIF Med Cargo average quotations when calculating the maximum retail price for standard diesel. At the same time, the application of certain legal provisions on the petroleum products market has been postponed until 25 August 2026 in order to reduce the burden on consumers.
2.    Protecting stocks destined for the Republic of Moldova. To ensure that available petroleum products remain a priority on the domestic market, export and re-export from the Giurgiulesti International Free Port will only be allowed if stocks exceed the thresholds of 2,500 tons for gasoline and 7,500 tons for diesel. At the same time, fuel imported for domestic consumption will not be able to be subsequently exported or re-exported.
3. Permanent inventory monitoring. The operator of the Giurgiulesti International Free Port will report daily stock levels, and licensees will transmit daily information on available quantities and weekly diesel import plans. This mechanism provides authorities with a real-time picture of the situation and allows for rapid interventions if supply risks arise.
4.  Faster imports to the Republic of Moldova. To reduce supply times, the Customs Service will establish dedicated corridors for customs clearance of petroleum products, and together with the General Inspectorate of the Border Police, it will operationalize priority lanes for tanker trucks transporting diesel destined for the Republic of Moldova. At the same time, rail transport of diesel will benefit from priority access to the national network. The measures allow the fuel to reach distributors and, subsequently, consumers more quickly.
5.    Preventing excessive purchases. Consumers can continue to fill up at the pump with the entire quantity of diesel fuel needed to fill the vehicle's tank. At the same time, the sale of additional diesel fuel in containers is only allowed within a maximum limit of 40 liters. By way of exception, this limit does not apply to the supply of agricultural machinery in specialized containers, in which case a quantity greater than 40 liters may be sold, depending on the needs of agricultural activities. The measure aims to prevent excessive storage and ensure fair access to fuel for all consumers.
6.    Ensuring continuity of supply. In the event that stocks of standard petroleum products run out, gas stations will be able to sell other types of main petroleum products. This flexibility reduces the risk of supply disruption and allows gas stations to continue operating.
7.   The state reduces its own consumption. Central and local public authorities will reduce fuel consumption by at least 20% compared to the same period in 2025, by optimizing business trips, using online meetings and prioritizing public transport where possible. The goal is to save resources without affecting essential public services and without imposing restrictions on the population.

For details, access here Decision No. 1 of the National Crisis Management Commission.

To protect available water resources, ensure continuous water supply to the population and the functioning of vital services, several measures have been adopted to:
1. Preventing excessive consumption and unauthorized use of water. The Inspectorate for Environmental Protection will intensify checks on compliance with water use conditions and will intervene to prevent illegal abstractions, exceeding authorized volumes and irrational use of water resources. The measure is to ensure their responsible use during the state of alert.
2.  Preparation and use of alternative water sources. Local authorities, together with water supply service operators, will inventory alternative and backup sources, check the technical condition of existing wells and, if necessary, invest in their rehabilitation and equipment. The goal is that, in the event of a reduction in the flow of the Dniester, the population can be temporarily supplied from alternative sources, while respecting sanitary requirements.
3.   Ensuring continuity of water supply. If the reduction in the Nistru River flow affects the operation of the water supply stations, the authorities and operators will gradually and proportionally introduce temporary supply programs and measures to limit secondary consumption. At the same time, medical, social institutions, educational institutions and other critical facilities will have priority in water supply, and the affected localities will be supplied through tankers, mobile tanks and other backup sources.
4.    Prioritizing water use for basic needs. Depending on the evolution of the hydrological situation, water resources will be used with priority for supplying the population with drinking water, sanitary needs and maintaining the ecological flow necessary to protect aquatic ecosystems. If the situation worsens, the use of water for secondary activities, such as irrigation, industrial processes or surface washing, may be temporarily and gradually limited.
5.  Permanent monitoring of the hydrological situation and water supply. The Ministry of Environment, together with the responsible institutions and local public administration authorities with the operators of public water supply systems, will permanently monitor the operation of the supply systems, the flow, level and volume of water in the Dniester River, as well as its quality, especially in the catchment areas intended for human consumption, immediately reporting any risk of reduction or interruption of the service. This mechanism provides the authorities with a real-time picture of the situation, allows for early identification of risks generated by the reduction of flow and deterioration of water quality, and facilitates rapid interventions to prevent malfunctions in the supply of drinking water to the population.
6.   Informing the population and protecting public health. The Ministry of Health will permanently monitor the quality of water for human consumption and assess the risks to the health of the population, and local public authorities and operators will constantly inform citizens about the evolution of the situation, possible restrictions and water saving measures.
The measures adopted are preventive and will be applied during the alert states.

For details, access here Decision No. 2 of the National Crisis Management Commission.

The National Crisis Management Commission is the national mechanism through which state authorities conduct an integrated analysis of crisis situations, coordinate the institutional response and adopt rapid decisions to protect the population, critical infrastructure and the continuity of essential services.

Failure to comply with the Commission's decisions will result in liability in accordance with the legislation.

The Commission's secretariat is provided by the National Crisis Management Center, the entity responsible for monitoring the implementation of the Commission's decisions, collecting information on the status of their execution, preparing reports on the level of implementation of measures and informing the Commission on the need to adopt additional measures.


Government takes measures to protect water supply, energy security and strengthen crisis response capacity

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The Government of the Republic of Moldova approved today a package of decisions that pursue a common objective: protecting the population and ensuring the uninterrupted operation of vital services, in the context of increasingly accentuated risks at the regional level. 

One of the decisions is declaring a state of alert in the energy sector at national level, for a period of 30 days. 

This measure aims to prevent a possible supply disruption in the energy sector. Current data indicate a rapid deterioration of energy security, based on the following arguments: 
- Price shock and market volatility: Platts international quotes for diesel saw a rapid rise, returning to around $1,300/tonne from $880-900/tonne in mid-June. At the same time, the price of Brent oil crossed the $100/barrel mark, generating enormous financial pressure on importers. 
- The Red Sea Logistical Blockade: The conflict between the US and Iran, along with attacks by Houthi rebels, forced the rerouting of ships. This extended shipping times up to 4 weeks, increasing vessel charter rates and affecting international Platts and Brent quotations. 
- Severe regional shortage of diesel stocks: It is determined by an overlap of critical factors: the suspension of deliveries of Kazakh crude oil through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium's marine terminal near Novorossiisk in the Black Sea (essential for refineries in Romania, where 80% of imported crude oil is of Kazakh origin), re-export restrictions imposed by the authorities in Bulgaria and the major disruption of regional logistics chains caused by attacks on Black Sea oil points. 
- Reduction of commercial stocks: Diesel stocks have fallen from a safe level of 17.6 days (at the end of June) to a threshold of 6.9 days that requires rigorous management. 
- Logistical and geopolitical bottlenecks: The drought reduced the level of the Danube, limiting barge capacity to only half of normal capacity, and blocking access of large sea vessels to the Port of Giurgiulesti, which forced a massive and costly reorientation to land transport. Moreover, the suspension for a period of deliveries of Kazakh crude oil to the Petromidia refinery in Romania affected our main fuel source. 

Through this state of alert, we activate several intervention mechanisms focused on: 
- The flexibility of the price regime to reflect actual acquisition costs. 
- Logistics fluidization by prioritizing import clearance and creating green border corridors. 
- Consumer protection
- Strategic coordination: The National Crisis Management Commission will coordinate strategic decisions, and the Ministry of Energy will be the sectoral entity responsible for response management. 

The second decision is declaring the state of hydrological alert for a period of 30 days. 

The decision is based on the analysis of hydrological indicators and available forecasts, which show a significant decrease in water resources in the hydrographic basin from which the Republic of Moldova is fed. The evolution is determined by the major precipitation deficit recorded in the Carpathian area, where an important part of the water resources that later reach the territory of our country is formed. For this reason, the hydrological regime in the Republic of Moldova depends not only on the precipitation recorded at the national level, but also on the hydrometeorological conditions in the entire hydrographic basin. 

Based on the current situation, preventive actions are necessary considering the following aspects: 
- Reduction of water reserves. On July 27, 2026, the water level in the Nistru Reservoir dropped to 113.24 m, significantly below the normal retention level of 121 m. Water supply is low, and forecasts indicate that this trend will continue in the absence of significant precipitation in the upper basin. 
- The need for prudent management of water resources. The Republic of Moldova uses the water resources from this basin for feeding the population, economic activities and agriculture. Under these conditions, it is necessary to coordinate monitoring and management measures, so that the available resources are managed efficiently during the period of hydrological deficit. 
- The situation requires a more rigorous protection of ecosystems and economic activities. Reduced flows influence the operation of irrigation systems and the balance of aquatic ecosystems, which requires permanent monitoring and the adoption, if necessary, of coordinated response measures. 
- There is an imminent risk from August 1st. The consequences of a possible reduction of discharge flows from Novodnistrovsk starting from August 1st below the critical threshold of 100 m³/s, could endanger the operation of the catchment stations and the natural dilution capacity of the river, while increasing the concentration of pollutants. The volume of 100 m³/s represents the minimum safety limit that allows maintaining the functionality of the water intakes and the natural dilution capacity of the river, any further decrease directly endangering the water supply. 

By establishing the state of alert, the Government will apply the necessary mechanisms for the effective coordination and management of the hydrological situation: 
- The authorities will evaluate the available underground water capture capacities and other reserve sources, in order to ensure operational flexibility in case of unfavorable evolution of hydrological indicators. 
All catchment points in the Nistru and its tributaries will be inventoried to assess the volumes used and detect irrational consumption. This action is imperative in the context of the imminent risk of reducing the discharge flow from Novodnistrovsk, starting on August 1, below the critical threshold of 100 m³/s. 
- Local authorities and operators will rehabilitate and prepare operatively the reserve water wells to make up for the deficit from the intakes on  Nistru. 
- Operators will update and activate continuity plans, including by using backup sources, adapting the capture regime and reducing network losses. 
- The Ministry of the Environment will ensure the permanent monitoring of hydrological parameters. 
- Through the National Crisis Management Commission, the process of evaluation and adoption of the necessary decisions will be coordinated, depending on the evolution of the situation. 

The last decision approved today is the modification Government Decision no. 346/2026, developed to ensure the continuity and efficiency of the national coordination mechanisms in the management of crisis situations through an adjustment of the terms of entry into force of some provisions of the said Decision. 

Considering the evolution of the regional security context and the need to strengthen the reaction capacity at the governmental level, the immediate entry into force of the decision allows the activation of the National Crisis Management Commission - a strategic coordination mechanism led by the Prime Minister, through which the continuous assessment of the situation, the coordination of the institutional response and the prompt adoption of the necessary decisions at the national level are ensured. 

At the same time, the deadline of August 10, 2026 is maintained for the entry into force of the provisions applicable to the regional, territorial and local level. This approach gives local public administration authorities the necessary time to finalize organizational measures and set up their own commissions, ensuring an orderly and efficient implementation of the new mechanism.


Moldova continues to modernize the crisis management mechanism

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Ședința de Guvern

The experience of recent years, marked by energy crises, pandemics, refugee flows and extreme weather phenomena, has shown that the state needs a faster and better coordinated mechanism to protect people. 

In this context, the Government approved the creation from September 1, 2026 of a new, modern mechanism based on the anticipation and prevention of crisis situations. It will be composed of: the National Crisis Management Commission, regional or territorial and local crisis management commissions, their operational coordination centers and the National Crisis Management Center, created in September 2025. 

At the same time, the normative framework regulating the activity of the Commission for Exceptional Situations (CSE) was repealed. 

How was it before and how will it be from September 1, 2026?

  • before the state acted, predominantly, after the crisis materialized. The focus was on repairing damages and providing compensation for losses. The Commission for Extraordinary Situations (CES) intervened only when the situation was already serious.

  • From autumn 2026 the new crisis management mechanism emphasizes anticipation, prevention, permanent monitoring of risks to reduce damage and stop the effects of the crisis before it affects the population.

Direct benefits for people:

  • faster help: the intervention of vital state services will be coordinated much more efficiently at the central, regional and local level.

  • clear information: citizens will receive official information from one reliable source, avoiding confusion and fake news at critical times.

  • decisions close to communities: local problems will be solved faster, because the decision no longer depends only on the central authorities in Chisinau.

To avoid overlapping responsibilities, the roles have been distributed between those who monitor, those who decide strategically at the national level, those who lead local structures and those who act in the field:

  1. National Crisis Management Commission it is the decision-making forum, led by the Prime Minister. The commission meets to make strategic decisions, such as mobilizing additional resources, allocating money from the reserve fund, or establishing measures during the state of emergency. The Secretariat of the Commission is provided by the National Crisis Management Center, which provides the necessary informational, analytical and logistical support.

  2. National Crisis Management Center (NCMC) it is a structure subordinate to the Government that works non-stop (24/7). Its role is to collect information from all institutions, analyze the risks and prepare all the necessary data so that the Government can make correct decisions, from the early stages of a danger.

  3. Regional, territorial and local crisis management commissions are organized on three levels: regional (in the case of ATU Gagauzia it is headed by the Governor), territorial (in each district and in the municipalities of Chisinau and Balti, headed by the presidents of the districts or mayors) and local (in villages/communes and cities, headed by mayors). Their role is to manage the crisis at the local level and coordinate aid to the population. These commissions ensure that the decisions taken by the central authorities in Chisinau are effectively applied in each locality.

  4. Operational Coordination Centers (OCCs) they are not permanent offices with new employees, but inter-institutional operative structures, which can be activated as needed in each district, Chisinau municipality, Balti municipality, ATU Gagauzia, as soon as a danger appears or a crisis is triggered, to coordinate the intervention to help the community. Outside of crisis situations, the specialists who are part of the OCC carry out their regular work, being prepared to assemble in the command center only when the situation demands it. The centers collect the information from the territory and transmit it to the NCMC, ensuring a fast and accurate flow of information. Also, the OCC organizes the technical secretariat of the regional/territorial crisis management commissions and collects, analyzes and evaluates operational data, formulating proposals for the decisions of the president of the commission.

This reform clarifies institutional responsibilities and establishes a predictable framework for coordination between central, regional and local authorities during crisis situations. By delimiting strategic decisions from technical and operational coordination, the state strengthens its reaction capacity, uses available resources more efficiently and increases the degree of protection of citizens in the face of an increasingly diverse and dynamic spectrum of risks and threats.